Safety Stock – Definition, Importance, Formulas & Implementation

Content Creation Team

Cash Flow Inventory

Editorial Note: We are an inventory management software provider. While some of our blog posts may highlight features of our own product, we strive to provide unbiased and informative content that benefits all readers.

Safety stock is a reserve inventory keep on hand to handle fluctuations in demand and prevent stockout.

A stockout is happen when inventory runs out and cannot be replenished in time to meet customer demand. This can be a costly problem, as it can lead to lost sales and unhappy customers. Safety stock can help to avoid stockouts by providing a buffer of inventory that can be used in the event of an unexpected increase in demand or a decrease in supply. 

There are a few different formulas that go into deciding how much safety stock you have to maintain. These include General formula, Fixed safety stock, Time-based calculation, Greasley formula, and the Heizer Render formula.

The lead time is the most important factor, as it will determine how much time there is between when inventory is ordered and when it arrives. If the lead time is long, then more safety stock will be needed to avoid stockouts. 

What Is the Purpose of Safety Stock Inventory:

Safety stock inventory is an extra quantity of inventory that businesses keep on hand to protect against unexpected fluctuations in demand or supply. It acts as a buffer to prevent stockouts, which can lead to lost sales, customer dissatisfaction, and damage to the company’s reputation.

Here are the primary purposes of safety stock inventory:

1. Protect against unexpected demand surges: Demand can be unpredictable, and even the most accurate forecasts may not account for sudden spikes. Safety stock helps to ensure that the company can meet demand even if it experiences a surge in sales.

2. Buffer against supply chain disruptions: Supply chains are complex and can be disrupted by various factors, such as natural disasters, labor strikes, or transportation delays. Safety stock provides a cushion to prevent stockouts in case of supply chain disruptions.

3. Reduce the risk of stockouts: Stockouts occur when a company runs out of inventory, which can have a significant negative impact on the business. Safety stock helps to reduce the risk of stockouts by providing a backup supply of goods.

4. Maintain customer satisfaction: Customers expect to receive the products they order when they order them. Stockouts can lead to customer dissatisfaction and lost sales. Safety stock helps to ensure that customers can continue to purchase the products they need.

5. Protect against price fluctuations: Prices of goods can fluctuate unexpectedly. Safety stock can help to protect the company from the financial impact of price fluctuations by providing a buffer of inventory that can be sold at higher prices if necessary.

The amount of safety stock that a company needs depends on a variety of factors, such as the variability of demand, the length of lead times from suppliers, and the company’s risk tolerance. Businesses should carefully calculate the appropriate level of safety stock to balance the risk of stockouts with the cost of carrying excess inventory.

Importance of Safety Stock:

Reducing stock-outs and overstocks can lower inventory costs by 10%.” — Source: Zebra

Importance of Safety Stock
Importance of Safety Stock

It’s important to have a safety stock of inventory on hand to protect against unexpected spikes in customer demand or disruptions in the supply chain. By having a buffer of extra inventory, businesses can avoid stock outs and lost sales. Additionally, safety stock can help to protect against inflationary cost increases.

While it is important to have a safety stock, it is also important to manage it effectively. Too much stock can tie up working capital and lead to higher inventory carrying costs. As a result, businesses need to strike a balance between having enough stock to protect against disruptions and having too much inventory that ends up dragging the business.

Safety stock is the extra inventory that a business keeps on hand to protect against stockouts. A stockout can cost a business a lot of money in lost sales and productivity, so it’s important to make sure that you have enough stock to avoid stockouts.

Ensuring safety stock ensures healthy business practices in various aspects including:

  1. Minimizes the risk of stockouts, lost sales as well as revenues.
  2. Ensures order fulfillment and better customer experiences.
  3. Helps to reduce delivery times which helps to avoid negative impacts on customer satisfaction.
  4. Ensures the continuity of production lines based on demands.
  5. Minimizes the risks of deadstock where inventory levels are balanced by safety stocks.
  6. Helps to adopt forecasting inaccuracy at certain levels.
  7. Helps to handle unexpected demand or supply changes.
  8. Helps to reduce inventory costs including holding, carrying, and operational costs.
  9. Minimizes the risk of overstocking and ensures the proper use of business capital.
  10. Helps to maintain a competitive advantage over your competitors.

Factors Affecting Safety Stock:

There are a few things to consider when determining how much safety stock to keep on hand. First, you’ll need to identify the minimum acceptable level of inventory that you can maintain without jeopardizing customer satisfaction. Next, you’ll need to estimate the probability and magnitude of demand and supply disruptions. Finally, you’ll need to balance the costs and risks associated with holding additional inventory.

There are a few different factors keep in your consideration that may vary formula to formula that you use. These include the lead time (the time it takes to replenish inventory), and the demand variability, and the desired service level.

1. Lead Time:

Lead time is the time it takes to receive a new shipment of inventory after placing an order. The effects of lead time on safety stock are twofold. First, the longer the lead time, the more likely it is that demand will increase during that time, which will require more safety stock. Second, the longer the lead time, the greater the risk that something will go wrong and the shipment will be delayed, which will also require more safety stock.

Lead time is the amount of time it takes to receive new inventory from your suppliers. If you have a long lead time, you’ll need to keep more safety stock on hand to avoid running out of products.

2. Demand Variability:

The degree to which a product’s demand changes over time. The requirement for safety stock may increase as demand unpredictability increases.

Safety stock is the extra inventory that a business keeps on hand to meet unexpected spikes in customer demand. It’s important to strike a balance between supply and demand. Too little and you risk running out of inventory and disappointing customers. Too much and you tie up capital in inventory that could be better used elsewhere. By taking the time to carefully assess your needs, you can ensure that you have just the right amount of safety stock to keep your business running.

3. Desired Service Level:

The percentage of client orders that can be filled without running out of inventory. The requirement for safety stock may rise as the service level rises.

Safety Stock Formula:

As an inventory manager, you understand the crucial role of safety stock in maintaining accurate stock levels. Safety stock is the additional inventory you keep in reserve to address unexpected demand surges or unforeseen events.

Methods for calculating safety stock
Methods for calculating safety stock

There are a number of methods used to calculate safety stock. Which one is best? It depends on your business and demands.

1. General Formula:

The general formula is a simple mathematical equation used to calculate the amount of inventory a company should maintain to minimize the risk of stockouts.

The formula is:

Safety Stock = (Maximum Daily Usage * Maximum Lead Time) – (Average Daily Usage * Average Lead Time)

For example, let’s say a company has a maximum daily usage of 100 units and a maximum lead time of 10 days. Their average daily usage is 50 units and their average lead time is 5 days.

Their safety stock would be:

Safety Stock = (100 * 10) – (50 * 5)

Safety Stock = 1,000 – 250

Safety Stock = 750 units

It’s important to note that the safety stock formula is just a guideline. There are many factors that can affect a company’s inventory needs, so it’s always best to work with a professional to determine the ideal safety stock level for your business.

2. Fixed Safety Stock:

If you’re looking to implement a fixed safety stock formula in your business, there are a few things you need to know. First, safety stock is a buffer of inventory that you keep on hand in case of unanticipated demand or disruptions in your supply chain. Second, the fixed safety stock formula is a way to calculate the amount of safety stock you need to keep on hand, based on your historical sales data.

To calculate your fixed safety stock, you’ll need to know your average daily sales and your standard deviation of sales.

Once you have those numbers, you can plug them into the formula:

Fixed Safety Stock = Average Daily Sales * Standard Deviation of Sales

Once you have your safety stock calculated, you can decide how you want to store it. You can keep it in a physical warehouse, or you can use a software system to track and manage your inventory.

3. Time-based Calculation:

With time-based safety stock calculation, you start by estimating the average lead time for your product. Lead time is the amount of time it takes for your product to be delivered from your supplier. Once you have your lead time estimate, you multiply it by a safety factor.

The safety factor is a number that you choose based on how confident you are in your lead time estimate. A higher safety factor means you’re less confident in your lead time estimate, so you want to have more safety stock on hand. A lower safety factor means you’re more confident in your lead time estimate, so you can get by with less safety stock.

Once you have your lead time and safety factor, you simply multiply them together to get your safety stock.

4. Greasley Formula:

The Greasley formula is a simple way to calculate safety stock. It takes into account the average demand, the standard deviation of demand, and the desired level of service.

The formula is:

Safety Stock = (Average Demand * Standard Deviation of Demand) / (1 – Desired Level of Service)

Average demand = the average number of units that are demanded over a period of time

Standard deviation of demand = a measure of how much demand varies from the average

Desired level of service = the percentage of time that you want to be able to meet demand

For example, let’s say that the average demand for a product is 100 units per day, the standard deviation of demand is 30 units, and you want to be able to meet demand 95% of the time.

The safety stock would be:

Safety Stock = (100 * 30) / (1 – 0.95)

Safety Stock = 300 units

5. Heizer Render Formula:

When it comes to inventory management, one of the most important formulas to know is the Heizer Render formula for safety stock. This formula can help you determine how much safety stock you need to keep on hand to avoid stockouts.

The Heizer Render formula for safety stock is:

SS = (Z*σ*√LT)/(C*δ)

Where:

SS = Safety stock

Z = Z-score

σ = Standard deviation

LT = Lead time

C = Consumption rate

δ = Demand variability

Let’s break down each of these variables:

Z-score: This is a statistical measure that represents how many standard deviations away from the mean a value is. In the context of safety stock, the Z-score represents the likelihood of a demand event occurring.

Standard deviation: This measures the variability of a data set. In the context of safety stock, the standard deviation represents the variability of demand.

Dynamic Safety Stock:

Dynamic safety stock refers to the practice of adjusting safety stock levels based on changes in demand or supply variability over time. Safety stock is a quantity of inventory held in reserve to protect against uncertainty in demand or supply lead time.

Traditionally, safety stock is calculated using a static formula based on factors such as lead time, demand variability, and service level. However, this approach does not account for changes in demand or supply variability over time, which can lead to either overstocking or stockouts.

With dynamic safety stock, safety stock levels are periodically reevaluated and adjusted based on the latest demand and supply data. For example, if demand variability increases, safety stock levels can be raised to ensure that sufficient inventory is available to meet customer demand. Conversely, if supply lead time improves, safety stock levels can be lowered to reduce inventory carrying costs.

Dynamic safety stock can help companies optimize inventory levels, reduce stockouts, and improve customer service levels. However, it requires accurate and timely data, as well as sophisticated inventory management systems to support frequent adjustments to safety stock levels.

Safety Stock Challenges & Risks:

There are many potential risks associated with holding safety stock. For example, if demand unexpectedly decreases, safety stock can become excessive and result in higher inventory costs. Additionally, if demand unexpectedly increases, safety stock levels may be insufficient and result in lost sales and dissatisfied customers.

Managing safety stock can be a complex and challenging task. However, it is important to consider all potential risks when making decisions about inventory levels. By understanding the risks associated with safety stock, businesses can make informed decisions that help minimize potential losses.

Some of the challenges of implementing a safety stock system include:

  1. Determining the correct level of safety stock: The amount of safety stock that is needed will vary depending on the product, the demand for the product, and the supply chain. It is important to carefully consider all of these factors when determining the correct level of safety stock.
  2. Tracking inventory levels: It is important to track inventory levels closely so that you can identify when safety stock needs to be replenished. This can be done manually or with the help of inventory management software.
  3. Managing costs: Safety stock can add to inventory costs, so it is important to find a balance between having enough safety stock to protect against disruptions and not having too much safety stock, which can lead to unnecessary costs.

Despite the challenges, implementing a safety stock system can help businesses to improve their inventory management and reduce the risk of stockouts. By carefully considering the factors involved and taking steps to mitigate the challenges, businesses can implement a safety stock system that is effective and efficient.

Here are some tips for implementing a safety stock system:

  1. Start by calculating the demand for your products. This will help you to determine the amount of safety stock that you need to hold in order to meet demand.
  2. Track your inventory levels closely. This will help you to identify when safety stock needs to be replenished.
  3. Use inventory management software to help you track inventory levels and manage safety stock.
  4. Set a budget for safety stock and stick to it. This will help you to avoid unnecessary costs.
  5. Review your safety stock levels regularly and make adjustments as needed. This will ensure that your safety stock levels are appropriate for your business.

Safety Stock & Reorder Point:

When it comes to inventory management, two key terms you’ll hear are “safety stock” and “reorder point.” So, what do they mean?

Safety stock is the extra inventory that a company holds to protect against stock outs. It’s insurance for when demand is higher than expected or when there are unforeseen delays in the supply chain.

The reorder point is the point at which a company orders more inventory to replenish its stock. This point is calculated based on the company’s average daily sales and the lead time (the time it takes to receive new inventory from the supplier).

Both safety stock and the reorder point are important to keep in mind when managing inventory. By having a safety stock, you can avoid stock outs and keep customers happy. And by knowing your reorder point, you can make sure you have the inventory you need on hand when you need it.

Maintaining Reorder Point for Ensuring Safety Stock:

The reorder point is the level of inventory that triggers a replenishment order. It is the point at which a company needs to order more inventory to maintain adequate levels.

The reorder point is calculated by taking the average daily usage and multiplying it by the lead time. The lead time is the amount of time it takes to receive an order from the supplier.

For example, if a company has an average daily usage of 10 units and a lead time of 5 days, the reorder point would be 50 units. This means that the company needs to have 50 units on hand at all times to meet customer demand.

The reorder point is a crucial part of inventory management. It ensures that companies have enough inventory on hand to meet customer demand, while also avoiding excess inventory.

Reorder Point Formula:

Reorder point formula is the minimum inventory level (in terms of quantity or value) at which a company must replenish its stock. The reorder point is determined by the company’s lead time and safety stock.

Lead time is the time it takes for a company to receive an order from the time the order is placed. For example, if a company orders inventory on Monday and the inventory arrives on Wednesday, the lead time is two days.

Safety stock is the extra inventory that a company keeps on hand to account for unexpected increases in demand or disruptions in the supply chain.

The reorder point formula is:

Reorder point = Safety stock + (Lead time x Average daily demand)

For example, if a company has a lead time of two days and an average daily demand of 100 units, the reorder point would be:

Reorder point = (2 x 100) + 500

Reorder point = 300 units.

Reorder Quantity:

Reorder point is the level of inventory at which a company must place a new order to replenish stock. Reorder quantity is the amount of inventory that a company must order to replenish stock. The main difference between reorder point and reorder quantity is that reorder point is the point at which a company must place an order to replenish stock while reorder quantity is the amount of inventory that a company must order to replenish stock.

1. Economic Order Quantity:

Economic order quantity (EOQ) is the number of units of a product that a company should order to minimize the total costs of inventory. The EOQ model is based on the following assumptions:

  1. There is no quantity discount.
  2. There is no production lead time.
  3. The demand for the product is constant.
  4. The unit cost of the product is constant.
  5. There is no interest cost.

The EOQ formula is as follows:

EOQ = √(2DL/H)

Where:

D = Annual demand

L = Ordering cost per order

H = Holding cost per unit per year

The EOQ model can help a company determine the optimal number of units to order so that it can minimize the costs of inventory.

2. Open to Buy:

Open-to-buy (OTB) is an inventory management technique to determine how many items you have to purchase. Open-to-buy is a budget forecast that a store creates for a specified time period in order to buy potential future goods or things with an aim   to ensure better inventory management and maximize profit.

The formula of open to buy (OTB):

OTB(Open-to-buy ) = Planned sales+ planned markdowns+ planned end of month inventory- planned beginning of month inventory.

Where,

  1. Planned beginning of month inventory: Expected inventory (in your business base currency) to have at the beginning of the month. 
  2. Planned sales: Predicted sales (in your business base currency) during a given month.
  3. Planned markdowns: A projection of product markdowns (in your business base currency).
  4. Planned open-to-buy: The amount that you have available to purchase inventory at the end of the month.
  5. Planned end-of-month inventory: Predicted inventory balance(in your business base currency) at the end of the month.

After giving open to buy balance using this formula you can buy inventory by item priority. You can use ABC analysis, Or VED analysis.

Monitoring and Adjusting Safety Stock Levels:

As a business owner, it’s important to keep a close eye on your inventory levels. This is especially true for items that are considered “safety stock.” Safety stock is a buffer of extra inventory that is kept on hand in case of unexpected spikes in demand or disruptions in the supply chain.

Adjusting safety stock levels can be a delicate balancing act. On one hand, you don’t want to have too much safety stock and tie up valuable resources. On the other hand, you don’t want to run out of inventory and risk losing sales.

Here are a few tips for monitoring and adjusting safety stock levels:

  1. Keep track of inventory levels and sales data. This will help you identify patterns and trends.
  2. Use a software system to help you keep track of inventory levels and calculate safety stock levels.
  3. Work with your suppliers to ensure that they can meet your needs.
  4. Be prepared to adjust safety stock levels as needed.

Using Software for Ensuring Safety Stock:

There are a number of software programs available that can help you manage your inventory and safety stock levels. These programs can track your sales data, help you forecast future demand, and even place orders with your suppliers automatically.

Using an inventory management software program can help you ensure you always have the right amount of stock on hand, so you can avoid stockouts and missed sales.

Businesses That Have Successfully Implemented Safety Stock:

Here are some businesses that have successfully implemented safety stock:

  • Amazon: Amazon is a global e-commerce company that sells a wide variety of products. The company has a sophisticated safety stock system in place to ensure that it has enough inventory to meet customer demand. For example, Amazon uses a technique called “safety stock pooling” to group together similar products and calculate a single safety stock level for the group. This helps Amazon to save money on inventory costs.
  • Walmart: Walmart is a global retailer that sells a wide variety of products. The company has a safety stock system in place to ensure that it has enough inventory to meet customer demand, even during peak shopping periods. For example, Walmart uses a technique called “vendor-managed inventory” (VMI) to allow its suppliers to manage their own inventory levels. This helps Walmart to reduce its inventory costs and improve its customer service.
  • Target: Target is a global retailer that sells a wide variety of products. The company has a safety stock system in place to ensure that it has enough inventory to meet customer demand, even during peak shopping periods. For example, Target uses a technique called “demand forecasting” to predict future demand for its products. This helps Target to order the right amount of inventory and avoid stockouts.

These are just a few examples of businesses that have successfully implemented safety stock systems. By carefully considering the factors involved and taking steps to mitigate the challenges, businesses can implement a safety stock system that is effective and efficient.

Conclusion:

It’s important to have a safety stock of inventory on hand in case of unexpected spikes in demand or disruptions in the supply chain. Safety stock can buffer against these variability and help ensure that your customers’ needs are always met.

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Content Creation Team

Cash Flow Inventory

Led by Mohammad Ali (15+ years in inventory management software), the Cash Flow Inventory Content Team empowers SMBs with clear financial strategies. We translate complex financial concepts into clear, actionable strategies through a rigorous editorial process. Our goal is to be your trusted resource for navigating SMB finance.

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